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- <text id=90TT3296>
- <title>
- Dec. 10, 1990: Strains On The Coalition
- </title>
- <history>
- TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1990
- Dec. 10, 1990 What War Would Be Like
- </history>
- <article>
- <source>Time Magazine</source>
- <hdr>
- NATION, Page 43
- Strains on the Coalition
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p> While governments around the world have rallied to join
- George Bush's anti-Saddam coalition, popular support for
- military involvement in the gulf is shallow even among some of
- America's staunchest allies. For other countries tanin the
- alliance, war is a minority, potentially untenable proposition.
- </p>
- <p> Britain remains outwardly the most committed European member
- of the coalition. In mid-November a poll for the Times of
- London showed 62% of those surveyed backing the use of U.S. and
- British troops against Iraq if Saddam Hussein refuses to leave
- Kuwait. Even the opposition Labour Party has consistently
- backed the government's gulf policy. However, in spite of
- current levels of support, pollsters believe public approval
- will decline dramatically as casualties mount.
- </p>
- <p> Officially, France remains on the anti-Saddam bandwagon.
- During the CSCE summit in Paris two weeks ago, President
- Francois Mitterrand repeatedly told Bush that "we're not going
- to leave you alone in the desert." The public is more
- diffident: in a poll published by Le Figaro last week, only 36%
- said they would favor French involvement in a gulf war, down
- from 46% in September. An earlier survey had shown that 53%
- wanted France to stand by the U.S.; that figure has fallen to
- 40%.
- </p>
- <p> Germany has pledged $2.2 billion to support the coalition,
- but militarily it is comfortably noninvolved. None of its
- soldiers have been or will be sent to the gulf, and virtually
- all the German hostages returned from Iraq two weeks ago. There
- have been only minor antiwar demonstrations. Fuel-price
- increases have failed to stimulate debate: long before the
- current crisis, Bonn imposed heavy gasoline taxes to encourage
- conservation; thus higher costs for crude only marginally
- affected German pump prices, which run in excess of $3 per gal.
- </p>
- <p> In Japan a few voices in the press have pointed out that the
- crisis gave Tokyo the opportunity to come up with dramatic
- foreign policy initiatives. But despite the danger to oil
- supplies, critical for a country that imports virtually all its
- crude, the public considers the gulf too far away to be a
- threat. Japan has pledged $4 billion to the coalition--an
- amount that, U.S. critics note, is far less than the $6 billion
- Matsushita paid last week to acquire MCA.
- </p>
- <p> Turkey has won praise from Washington for its support. But
- Prime Minister Turgut Ozal's hawkishness may have led the West
- to overrate Turkey's commitment. In a recent poll, 72% of
- respondents opposed Turkish military involvement.
- </p>
- <p> A host of other troubles bedevils the coalition. Moscow is
- too busy with domestic crises to do more than offer moral
- support. Understandably, popular enthusiasm for a foreign
- military adventure is not great at a time when Soviet mothers
- are still mourning sons killed in Afghanistan. Saudi Arabia and
- Syria cringe at the idea of a conflict pitting Arab against
- Arab. They remain uncomfortable with being--at least
- theoretically--aligned with Israel, which, though it has no
- troops committed to the gulf, is undoubtedly in favor of
- striking Iraq. Waiting for war may not corrode strength of
- arms, but it does eat away at the heart.
- </p>
- <p>By Howard G. Chua-Eoan. Reported by Edward M. Gomez/Paris and
- Seiichi Kanise/Tokyo, with other bureaus.
- </p>
-
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
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